Medical

A healthy roster is not the same as a medical lead who keeps players healthy.

Availability decides how much of a player you actually get, but it is not part of his rating, and it is not the same as the person keeping him on the floor. The engine reports availability separately from the KR, never baked in, and grades the medical lead as a portable actor, stripping out the roster he was handed and the load the coach chose, so only the availability that is truly his survives. The performance lead builds the body. The medical lead keeps it on the floor.

Case 01 · availability is not in the KR

Same rating. Not the same amount of player.

A durable player and a fragile player with identical traits have the identical KR, because the KR is what he is when he plays. What differs is how much of it you get. The engine reports that separately and never bakes it in, so the rating stays honest and the availability risk stays visible. Two composite wings.

Player A
durable
86
KR86
Expected availability92%
Realized value: nearly the full 86
Player B
fragile history
86
KR86
Expected availability61%
Realized value: a fraction of the 86

Both are 86s, and the engine says so plainly, it does not quietly dock the fragile player's rating to punish his body. It puts the KR and the availability side by side, so you decide how to weigh a great player you get sixty percent of the time. The rating tells you how good he is. The medical read tells you how often you have him.

Illustrative engine read on the real KR-plus-availability structure (availability reported separately, never baked into the KR). Composite players, demonstration figures.

Case 02 · grade the trainer, not the roster

Raw injury counts blame the wrong person.

A medical lead's raw availability is dominated by two things that are not him: which players he was handed, and how hard the coach worked them. Individual fragility is a documented five-times effect, and workload is a scheduling decision. The engine strips both, and only what survives is his fingerprint. Composite medical lead.

Raw availabilitythe number on the surfacelooks poor
Remove the roster he was handeda high-fragility roster, up to a 5x risk effect, not his faultadjust up
Remove the load the coach choseacute-to-chronic workload is a coaching and scheduling calladjust up
The availability residualwhat survives both adjustments, this is his78

On paper this lead looked below average, because he was handed brittle players and a coach who ran them hard. Strip the roster he did not pick and the load he did not set, and the surviving availability is strong. The residual is the only honest measure, and it usually disagrees with the raw count.

Illustrative engine read on the real roster-risk-adjusted and load-adjusted residual structure. Composite lead, demonstration figures.

Case 03 · it travels, and it raises the bet

The fingerprint moves with him, and it changes what a player is worth.

The medical lead is the sibling of the performance lead, same machinery, different fingerprint: one builds the body, the other keeps it on the floor. The engine runs the same portability test, then feeds the surviving availability forward into the realized value of every bet.

Stop 1 · mid-major
Program A
Avail residual+7.2
Re-injury ratelow
Stop 2 · high-major
Program B
Avail residual+6.8
Re-injury ratelow
The availability held. New roster, new schedule, and the residual stayed strong across the move. That is a trainer who keeps players on the floor, not a healthy roster or an easy calendar he happened to inherit.
Realized value of a bet. A strong medical lead raises a player's expected availability, which raises the realized value of a development or roster bet, at appropriate confidence. The fragile player is worth more under him than under a weak staff.
Program's Developmental Value. His availability fingerprint is the durability contribution inside a program's development read, alongside the coach and the performance lead.

Because availability is reported separately, a better medical lead does not inflate a rating, it raises how much of that rating you can bank on. The same fragile 86 is a safer bet under a strong staff, and the engine prices that difference instead of hiding it. He does not change the player. He changes how much of the player you get.

Illustrative engine read on the real portability and realized-value feed structure. Composite lead and programs, demonstration figures.

The law underneath
A healthy roster is not the same as a medical lead who keeps players healthy.

A team can look healthy because its players are durable and its schedule was kind, and none of that is the trainer. The engine refuses to credit or blame him for what he did not control: it strips the roster he was handed and the load the coach chose, tests whether the surviving availability travels, and reports it separately from the KR so the rating is never quietly bent to punish a body. Availability is not talent. It is how much of the talent you get, and who keeps it on the floor is a person worth grading, apart from the roster, the schedule, and the luck.